China Briefing

How plans work in China, and why you should care

Executive summary

  • As dynamic as China’s economy may be, it is still run by plans. Yet few know how to interpret these signals.
  • The plans themselves are not just economic; all areas of China’s society must prepare and follow them.
  • This broad scope and range makes plans far more vague than one might expect; they act as initial triggers, with many further ones needed to specify and articulate what is to be done. Who plans what makes a big difference; the power relations between the planners determine what is most likely to be implemented.
  • Understanding these plans allows some predictive power as they clearly outline which will be the preferred sectors and directions that the government is heading. This makes them relevant information for investors to try and understand.

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